Service Plays Tuesday 07/28/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Yanks]

INSIDE THE LINES


TUESDAY, JULY 28


NATIONAL LEAGUE


L.A. Dodgers (62-37) at St. Louis (54-48)


The major league-leading Dodgers send ace Chad Billingsley (10-5, 3.72 ERA) to the Busch Stadium bump for the second game of a four-game set against the Cardinals, who are slated to trot out Adam Wainwright (11-6, 2.95).


St. Louis got another stellar pitching performance from Chris Carpenter en route to Monday’s 6-1 victory over Los Angeles, winning for just the third time in the last eight games. The Cardinals are on positive surges of 5-1 at home, 5-1 against the N.L. West, 16-4 against teams with a winning percentage above .600. In addition, the Redbirds have owned the Dodgers lately, going 42-20 in the last 62 meetings overall and 25-8 in the last 33 at home. This is the first series of the season between the two clubs.


Despite Monday’s setback, Los Angeles remains on several positive runs, including 6-3 overall, 5-1 against N.L. Central foes, 5-3 on the road and 10-5 against righty starters.


Los Angeles has followed up a three-game skid behind Billingsley by winning three of his last four starts, including Wednesday’s 6-2 home victory over Cincinnati, with the 24-year-old allowing two runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out seven in six innings. Billingsley is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 10 road starts this year, with the Dodgers winning seven of those contests, and he’s 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA in four career appearances (three starts) against St. Louis.


St. Louis has won seven of Wainwright’s last nine starts, including four of the last five. On Thursday at Washington, he yielded one run on eight hits and a walk with seven strikeouts in six innings, as the Cardinals prevailed 4-1 in a rain-shortened contest. Wainwright, who has thrown at least six innings in 19 consecutive starts and gone seven innings or more 12 times, is 3-5 in 11 home starts this year despite a sturdy 2.37 ERA.


With Wainwright throwing, the Cards are on runs of 35-16 overall, 23-3 against winning teams and 19-8 at home. Against L.A., the right-hander is 1-2 with a 4.43 ERA in six career appearances (three starts).


The Dodgers are on “over” runs of 4-2-1 overall, 9-3 on the road, 11-6 against right-handed starters, 5-1-1 with Billingsley starting and 4-0 behind Billingsley on the highway. On the flip side, the Cardinals are on “under” streaks of 9-3 overall, 6-0 at home and 6-0 against the N.L. West, and with Wainwright taking the ball, the under is on rolls of 6-0 overall, 9-3 against the N.L. West and 5-2 at home.


Finally, the under has been the play in seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, with Monday’s 6-1 contest barely staying below the posted price.


ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS




AMERICAN LEAGUE


N.Y. Yankees (61-38) at Tampa Bay (54-46)


CC Sabathia (10-6, 3.67 ERA) leads the red-hot Yankees into the second game of their three-game series with the Rays, who are scheduled to counter with lefty Scott Kazmir (4-6, 6.69) at Tropicana Field.


New York cruised to an 11-4 victory in Monday’s series opener, improving to 10-1 in its last 11 games overall and 9-3 in its last 12 on the road. Additionally, the first-place Yankees are on a bundle of positive runs, including 46-21 overall, 7-1 in the A.L. East and 16-5 against winning teams.


Tampa Bay is still on a lengthy 88-36 streak at home dating to last season and is on further upticks of 5-2 in division play and 19-8 at the Trop against teams with a winning road record. However, the Yankees now hold a 5-4 lead in this rivalry in 2009, with the road team on a 6-2 run.


New York has won two in a row behind Sabathia for the first time since claiming three straight from May 8-19. Last Thursday, the veteran southpaw gave up three runs on nine hits with no walks over seven innings en route to a 6-3 home win over the Athletics. That followed a sterling 2-1 home victory over Detroit on July 18 when Sabathia delivered seven shutout innings.


Sabathia is 6-4 with a 3.33 ERA in 11 road starts this season, and he’s 7-1 with a 2.63 ERA in 12 career starts against Tampa. However, the Rays roughed up Sabathia on June 6 at Yankee Stadium, pounding out five runs (four earned) in eight innings, eventually prevailing 9-7.


Tampa had won two in a row and five of seven behind Kazmir before Thursday’s 5-0 road loss to the White Sox, in which Chicago’s Mark Buehrle threw a perfect game. Kazmir allowed all five runs on five hits and three walks in six innings. The lefty is 1-3 with a whopping 9.50 ERA in seven home starts this year, but he’s a much more respectable 5-4 with a 2.65 ERA in 13 career outings (12 starts) against the Bronx Bombers. In an April 13 home contest with the Yanks, he allowed three runs in 6 2/3 innings of a 15-5 Tampa Bay rout.


The under for New York is on runs of 7-3-1 overall and 8-4-1 against A.L. East foes, but the over is on streaks 5-0 on the road, 5-1-1 behind Sabathia and 4-0 with Sabathia hurling on the road. For Tampa, the under is on stretches of 35-17-1 overall, 9-3 in division play and 4-1 with Kazmir throwing, but the over is 6-1 in Kazmir’s last seven home starts and 16-5 in his last 21 outings against division opponents.


Finally, with last night’s high-scoring affair flying past the total, the over has now hit in six of the last seven Yanks-Rays clashes at Tropicana Field.


ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Rockies Monday night.

Today it's the Tigers. The surplus is 825 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 28, 2009

Colleague Howie "Summer Hoops" Kussoy hit nothing but nyet with his 'Stros tout last night, which caused Hondo's deficit to balloon to 465 klippsteins.

Tonight, he'll try to heat up with Cole in Arizona -- 10 units on the Phillies.

 

[stanz]

SportsOddsAndPicks for Tuesday:

They say they have won money 20 out of 26 weeks.

CHICAGO CUBS -125 (with Dempster) over Houston 8:05 p.m. ET
OVER 9 RUNS Yankees at Tampa Bay 7:05 p.m. ET

 

[fly73]

RatedPicks MLB 7/28



MLB:

MLB 07/28 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: Cincinnati Reds pts: -1.5 (+130) 3 units
MLB 07/28 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: Cincinnati Reds pts: -160 3 units
MLB 07/28 Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants pick: San Francisco Giants pts: -135 3 units
MLB 07/28 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -1.5 (+100) 3 units
MLB 07/28 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -230 5 units

 

[fly73]

Hot lines: Tuesday's best MLB bets


Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants (-135)

No sooner did the ink dry on his mega-contract, than the magic seemed to fall out of Barry Zito’s curveball.

A record of 27-40 and a spot at the end of the rotation surely wasn’t what the Giants had in mind when they signed the left-hander to a nine-figure deal after Zito became a perennial All-Star for the Bay Area rival Oakland A’s.

Though you wouldn’t expect light-hitting Pittsburgh to be among the opponents to stymie Zito (6-10, 4.68 ERA), the Pirates have done just that. He has lost three straight starts against Pittsburgh, despite giving up just seven earned runs in those starts. He gave up just two runs July 18 in Pittsburgh, but still ended up tagged with the loss.

Although there is nothing in his performance to indicate he is on a downward swing, you have to worry about Zito’s confidence. His body language in recent losses suggests the mounting close calls are taking a toll, and that’s never a good sign.

Pick: Pirates

Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels (-210)

The Indians just completed a bizarre, historic run in which they faced left-handed starters in nine straight games. Their recent offensive production probably has them wishing that the lefties would keep coming.

After a few tweaks of their lineup were made to adjust to the onslaught of southpaws, the Indians managed to score 31 runs in a three-game sweep of the Seattle Mariners over the weekend.

The adjustment back to right-handers won’t come easily, as Cleveland faces one of the league’s hottest starters in the Angels’ Jered Weaver (10-3, 3.50 ERA). Weaver should have enough to slow down Cleveland’s buzzsaw.

Pick: Angels

 

[fly73]

Cappers access
white sox
rays

 

[fly73]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

48-25 run

TUES KC Royals

 

[fly73]

Joe wiz Bonus Play
pitt/ sf under

 

[fly73]

Today's MLB Picks

Pittsburgh at San Francisco

The Pirates look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is just 1-18 in Barry Zito's last 19 starts against the NL Central. Pittsburgh is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 28
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.611; Florida (Nolasco) 16.069
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+115); Under
Game 903-904: San Diego at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 13.130; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 13.576
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Under
Game 905-906: Colorado at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Marquis) 15.423; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 16.147
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Under
Game 907-908: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Balester) 13.572; Milwaukee (Villanueva) 14.367
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-180); Over
Game 909-910: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.338; Cubs (Dempster) 15.239
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); N/A
Game 911-912: LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.659; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.734
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Under
Game 913-914: Philadelphia at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.113; Arizona (Haren) 16.524
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-130); Over
Game 915-916: Pittsburgh at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.761; San Francisco (Zito) 13.869
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under
Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.894; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 14.879
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over
Game 919-920: Kansas City at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 14.517; Baltimore (Berken) 15.761
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-130); Under
Game 921-922: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.277; Boston (Buchholz) 16.460
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-220); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-220); Under
Game 923-924: Detroit at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (French) 15.587; Texas (Padilla) 14.929
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+110); Under
Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.438; Minnesota (Baker) 15.930
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over
Game 927-928: Cleveland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 16.713; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.151
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+180); Over
Game 929-930: Toronto at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczynski) 14.637; Seattle (Washburn) 14.577
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+110); Over

 

[fly73]

RUDY BASEBALL's Plays of the Day - Tuesday 07/28
4-5 yesterday minus 4.35...we love today's card! In fact, we have a one day guarantee: if we do not turn a profit today, you get tomorrow's plays for FREE.

Today:

Rockies -125 4*

Braves/Marlins UNDER 8.5 -115 4*

Reds -1.5 +130 5*

Nats/Brewers OVER 10 -115 5*

Cubs -110 5*

Cards -115 4*

Giants -127 5*

Yanks -135 4*

Red Sox -1.5 -115 5*

Indians/Angels OVER 9.5 -105 4*

Mariners -110 4*

That's all folks!

GL
RUDY
__________________
2009 MLB Record
Plays Rated 1* to 5* (the highest)
July Record 124-102 +47.35 Units
Record thru June 340-322 -35.83 Units
All lines from BetJam or 5Dimes

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Tuesday Plays

MLB Baseball

1000* Play Atlanta (-115) over Florida (NL GAME OF THE YEAR)

Atlanta has won 12 of the last 16 games and they have also won 35 of the last 52 games when playing with a day off. Jair Jurrjens has won 6 of the last 7 games vs. division opponents and he has also won 20 of the last 27 games coming off a team win. Jair Jurrjens is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.37. Florida has lost 12 of the last 17 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher and Ricky Nolasco has an ERA of 5.33 this season.


50* Play Colorado (-135) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Jason Marquis has won 5 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has also won 3 of the last 4 games vs. NL East Division Opponents. Jason Marquis has an ERA of 1.64 over the last 3 starts. Mike Pelfrey has lost 4 consecutive games as a home underdog of +100 or higher and he has also lost 3 consecutive games vs. NL West Division Opponents.



50* Play Minnesota (-125) over Chicago White Sox (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Minnesota has won 11 of the last 14 games when playing on a Tuesday and they have also won 18 of the last 26 games as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Minnesota has won 17 of the last 24 games after having lost four or five of the last six games and Scott Baker is 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 3.72. Chicago has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 26 of the last 34 games when playing on artificial turf.



50* Play Arizona (-125) over Philadelphia (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Arizona has won 2 of the last 3 games and they have also won 3 consecutive games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less. Dan Haren has won 12 of the last 16 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has also won 12 of the last 15 games in the month of July. Dan Haren has won 10 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and he is also 2-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.05.



WNBA BASKETBALL


50* Play Indiana (-7) over Washington (WNBA TOP PLAY)

Indiana has won 25 of the last 29 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and they have also won 4 consecutive games coming off a loss by 15 points or more. Indiana has won 5 consecutive games when playing with three days or more of rest and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games vs. Washington

 

[brewerfan003]

PowerPlay Wins

Today's PowerPlay Wins is on:


Chicago lame ass Cubs -117 with dempster....Hope they're wrong....lol

 

[Yanks]

The Sports Investing Professional - Tuesday

Monday Recap - Baltimore had Chen on the ropes early and let him
off the hook but give credit because if you'd have told me that KC was going
to score 5 or 6 I would have thought we'd be a 10-5 winner. Didn't happen.


Todays Play(s) - There is only 1 real solid play and unfortunately the
price comes with it. We'll look to the LA Angels who are about as hot as
anyone playing one of the worst road teams who's happened to win 4 straight.
I think that streak ends here and our bet goes up..


MLB -LA Angels -180 [LISTED] Huff / Weaver....1170.00/ 650.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (21-10) + $3,374

 

[fly73]

Burns 9* Personal Fav Arizona

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

WNBA Basketball Picks

Washington at Indiana

The Fever look to rebound from their defeat at San Antonio and build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games following a SU loss. Indiana is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Fever favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JULY 28

Game 601-602: Washington at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 108.554; Indiana 117.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 8 1/2; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 145
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-7); Under
Game 603-604: Phoenix at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 112.659; Connecticut 113.424
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 3 1/2; 176 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+3 1/2); Over
Game 605-606: Seattle at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.303; San Antonio 110.000
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 135
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 2 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+2 1/2); Under
Game 607-608: Los Angeles at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 108.766; Minnesota 110.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 4; 151
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+4); Under

 

[Yanks]

Free Silver Key Pick for Tuesday ML Baseball


Over 9 Total Runs, Yankees at TAMPA BAY (7:05 et)

 

[Yanks]

Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #905 Colorado (-125) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)


2-Unit Play. Take #916 San Francisco (-130) over Pittsburgh (10 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)


1-Unit Play. Take #901 Atlanta (-115) over Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)


1-Unit Play. Take #917 N.Y. Yankees (-135) over Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #908 Milwaukee (-1.5, +100) over Washington (8 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take #928 L.A. Angels (-1.5, -110) over Cleveland (10 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)


1-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-115) over L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)


Today's Totals

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Oakland at Boston (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Atlanta at Florida (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Pittsburgh at San Francisco (10 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Colorado at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 N.Y. Yankees at Tampa Bay (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Houston at Chicago Cubs (7 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Detroit at Texas (8 p.m., Tuesday, July 28)

That's it for today. Jumping back in with the totals, but treading pretty lightly with all of them. This may not last long.

 

[Yanks]

Premier Cappers

New York Yankees ML –137 for 4 units (Best Bet)

Tampa has been struggling recently while the Yankees are playing their best baseball of the season right now. Tampa has done very bad against lefties as of late getting no hit by Buerhle and then getting dominated by two lefties in Toronto. Now they are getting in my opinion on of the better left handed starters in the AL win CC Sabathia whom is (10-6 3.67 ERA). The Yankees have been the opposite of the Rays doing very well against left handed starters hitting .290 at a team and .306 away from home this year. Kazmir will be taking the mound for Tampa and his struggles are plenty losing velocity on his fast ball and his breaking balls being straighter is the reason for his struggles. Kazmir is 4-6 for the year with a 6.69 ERA and he struggled against the teams that have hit lefties well this season giving up 5 runs to the White Sox, 7 runs to Toronto, 7 runs to Oakland, 7 runs to Cleveland, 6 runs to Baltimore and 8 runs to the Twins. Those where the games that he got destroyed in and in only 2 starts this year he has given up less than 3 runs. Kazmir had pitched even worse at home being 1-3 with a 9.50 ERA. When the Yankees gave CC all that money these are the big games that he was brought to the Yankees for and I see his stepping up his game today and doing well. The Yankees are 9-3 in their last 12 road games and 41-17 their last 58 games as a favorite. The Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 game in Tampa and trust me when I say there are always a lot of Yankees fans that go to these game being a 40% share in Tampa. I believe we are getting a good price and a great spot for the Yankees today to continue their dominance winning 10 out of their last 11 games overall.